Price matters, but your timeline and terms can matter more
You are trying to decide how aggressive your offer needs to be so you do not overpay and still get a yes. In Apache Wells, AZ, the clean guiding rule is to anchor your offer to what buyers have been getting accepted relative to asking.
Looking at recent closed numbers, the clearest signal was this buyers paid about 98.35% of asking last month, and the typical sale timeline was 96 days last month in Apache Wells, AZ. The practical impact is that you should not assume you must pay over asking to win. Some metrics were not reported for this period, but the combination of a sub-100% close-to-ask outcome and a long typical timeline gives you permission to negotiate, as long as you do it cleanly. Write offers that feel straightforward, not complicated. I recommend you start with a price position that respects the 98.35% reality from last month and then use clean terms to reduce friction for the seller. I also recommend you line up your inspection and closing schedule before you offer, because a typical 96-day path last month means delays can compound quickly in Apache Wells, AZ.